Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Winston-Govans Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510271002 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,761 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
24510271002 is a census tract in the Winston-Govans area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,761 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,449
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$58,698
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3504, -76.6044 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winston-Govans scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Winston-Govans compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 88%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 28.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winston-Govans
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.9% against 14.2% nationally.
At $1,563 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Baltimore commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Baltimore City average of 6.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $58,698.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510271002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510271002?
Census tract 24510271002 in the Winston-Govans neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510271002?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510271002?
16.8% of residents in tract 24510271002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,761.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510271002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 96th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 24510271002 considered part of Winston-Govans?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510271002 fall within Winston-Govans (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510271002 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510271002 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510271002 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510271002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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