Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Chesterwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk
Tract 24005420401 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 7,426 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
24005420401 is a census tract in the Chesterwood area of Dundalk, MD. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,426. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,183
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$56,086
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dundalk and the region
Centroid at 39.2576, -76.4905 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesterwood scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1
How Chesterwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chesterwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.9%Food insecurity
- 29.5%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesterwood
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10.
Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Set annual rent against average income of $56,086 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 30.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,706, 16% above the Dundalk average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005420401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420401?
Census tract 24005420401 in the Chesterwood neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005420401?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420401?
26.6% of residents in tract 24005420401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,426.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 43th, minority 69th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 24005420401 considered part of Chesterwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420401 fall within Chesterwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005420401 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005420401 compare to Dundalk overall?
Tract 24005420401 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk
Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Saint Helena
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Turner Station
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Watersedge
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Defense Heights
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Charlesmont
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Gray Haven
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Sparrows Point
7.8
/ 10 · High
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