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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Watersedge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005421200 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,839 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

24005421200 is a census tract in the Watersedge area of Dundalk, MD. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,839. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units784
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$70,086

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Watersedge
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#126 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2474, -76.4995 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watersedge scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1

How Watersedge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watersedge risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 4212006.4Dundalkparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watersedge

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against Baltimore County at 46.8%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,663 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Dundalk commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $70,086.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005421200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005421200?

Census tract 24005421200 in the Watersedge neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005421200?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005421200?

20.4% of residents in tract 24005421200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,839.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005421200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 67th, minority 32th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 24005421200 considered part of Watersedge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005421200 fall within Watersedge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005421200 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005421200 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005421200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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