Tract 24005420302 ·
Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,422 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24005420302 covers part of the Gray Haven area of Dundalk, MD, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,422 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 21%Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$64,271
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Gray Haven
Very High
Within parent city
85th percentile
#4 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
High
Within county
91th percentile
#21 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
92th percentile
#126 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dundalk and the region
Centroid at 39.2699, -76.4864 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gray Haven scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,381 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1
How Gray Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
71%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gray Haven. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.1%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
24.2%Food insecurity
21.5%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
21.7%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gray Haven
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,381, close to the Dundalk average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $64,271.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005420302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420302?
Census tract 24005420302 in the Gray Haven neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005420302?
Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420302?
25.4% of residents in tract 24005420302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,422.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 84th, minority 45th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 24005420302 considered part of Gray Haven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420302 fall within Gray Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005420302 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005420302 compare to Dundalk overall?
Tract 24005420302 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk
Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.