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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Gray Haven Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005420302 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,422 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 24005420302 covers part of the Gray Haven area of Dundalk, MD, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,422 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 21% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$64,271

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gray Haven
Very High
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#126 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2699, -76.4864 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gray Haven scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,381 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1

How Gray Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gray Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 4203026.4Dundalkparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gray Haven. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gray Haven

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10. It sits 2.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,381, close to the Dundalk average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $64,271.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005420302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420302?

Census tract 24005420302 in the Gray Haven neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005420302?

Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420302?

25.4% of residents in tract 24005420302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,422.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 84th, minority 45th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 24005420302 considered part of Gray Haven?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420302 fall within Gray Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005420302 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005420302 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005420302 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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