Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Graceland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dundalk

Tract 24005420702 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,548 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 24005420702 covers Graceland in Dundalk in Maryland. Home to 2,548 residents, it scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 87% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,973 a month against an average household income of $67,778 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 3% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units824

Renter share19.4%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate21.7%

Median income$67,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2759, -76.5254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Graceland scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dundalk

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

21.7% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,973 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dundalk

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dundalk

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dundalk

8.1

How Graceland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
43%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.0%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
25.3%Food insecurity
21.0%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
16.2%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
36.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Graceland

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005420702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420702?

Census tract 24005420702 in the Graceland neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005420702?

Median gross rent is $1,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420702?

21.7% of residents in tract 24005420702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,548.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 40th.

Is tract 24005420702 considered part of Graceland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420702 fall within Graceland (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005420702 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005420702 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005420702 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005420702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.