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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Graceland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005420702 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,548 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

24005420702 is a census tract in the Graceland area of Dundalk, MD. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,548 residents. Cost burden runs 87% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 3% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units824
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$67,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Graceland
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 21 tracts In Dundalk
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#126 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2759, -76.5254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Graceland scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundalk
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,973 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundalk
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundalk
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundalk
8.1

How Graceland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Graceland risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 4207026.4Dundalkparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Graceland

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,973 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Dundalk commands.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10. Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Set annual rent against average income of $67,778 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 25.3% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005420702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420702?

Census tract 24005420702 in the Graceland neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005420702?

Median gross rent is $1,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420702?

21.7% of residents in tract 24005420702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,548.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 24005420702 considered part of Graceland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420702 fall within Graceland (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005420702 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005420702 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005420702 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005420702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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