Manchester Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk
Tract 24005420701 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,227 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 24005420701 in the Manchester area of Dundalk, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,227 residents. Severe burden reaches 64%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dundalk and the region
Centroid at 39.2772, -76.5138 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.1%Food insecurity
- 32.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 18.0%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Cost burden runs 83% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $40,875, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10.
It sits 2.1 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7. SNAP participation runs 32.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally.
At $1,313 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Dundalk commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 24005420701
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420701?
What is the average rent in tract 24005420701?
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420701?
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420701?
Is tract 24005420701 considered part of Manchester?
What share of households in tract 24005420701 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 24005420701 compare to Dundalk overall?
Was tract 24005420701 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk
Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.