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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Tobin Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garrison

Tract 24005402603 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 6,030 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 24005402603 in the Tobin area of Randallstown, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,030. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,588
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$104,430

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tobin
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Garrison
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#156 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#893 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garrison and the region

Centroid at 39.3854, -76.7702 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tobin scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garrison
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garrison
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garrison
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garrison
7.0

How Tobin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tobin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 4026036.3Garrisonparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tobin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tobin

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Baltimore County average of 46.8%. At $1,301 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Randallstown commands.

Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $104,430, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005402603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005402603?

Census tract 24005402603 in the Tobin neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005402603?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005402603?

3.3% of residents in tract 24005402603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,030.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005402603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 63th, minority 90th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 24005402603 considered part of Tobin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005402603 fall within Tobin (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005402603 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005402603 compare to Garrison overall?

Tract 24005402603 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Garrison at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garrison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garrison

Top eight tracts in Garrison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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