Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Tobin Eviction Risk: Lower , Garrison
Tract 24005402603 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 6,030 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 24005402603, home to 6,030 residents in the Tobin area of Garrison, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,301 a month while the average household earns $104,430 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,588
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$104,430
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garrison and the region
Centroid at 39.3854, -76.7702 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tobin scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garrison
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garrison
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garrison
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garrison
7.0
How Tobin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tobin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tobin
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garrison, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005402603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005402603?
Census tract 24005402603 in the Tobin neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005402603?
Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005402603?
3.3% of residents in tract 24005402603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005402603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 63th, minority 90th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 24005402603 considered part of Tobin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005402603 fall within Tobin (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005402603 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005402603 compare to Garrison overall?
Tract 24005402603 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Garrison at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garrison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garrison
Top eight tracts in Garrison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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