Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Tobin Eviction Risk: Elevated , Garrison
Tract 24005403702 ·
Baltimore County, MD · pop 6,358 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
24005403702 is a census tract in the Tobin area of Garrison, MD. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,358 residents. Cost burden runs 24% here against 46.8% across Baltimore County.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 44%Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,172
Renter share58.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$110,572
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Tobin
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Garrison
Very High
Within county
61th percentile
#86 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
67th percentile
#479 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garrison and the region
Centroid at 39.3914, -76.7580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tobin scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garrison
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,932 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garrison
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garrison
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garrison
5.0
How Tobin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.1%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
17.2%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tobin
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Baltimore County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,932, close to the Garrison average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $110,572. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24005403702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403702?
Census tract 24005403702 in the Tobin neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24005403702?
Median gross rent is $1,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403702?
13.5% of residents in tract 24005403702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,358.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 8th, minority 51th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 24005403702 considered part of Tobin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403702 fall within Tobin (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24005403702 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24005403702 compare to Garrison overall?
Tract 24005403702 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Garrison at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garrison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garrison
Top eight tracts in Garrison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.