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Neighborhood · Garrison, MD

Tobin Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,388 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 2.5–3.7

Tobin is a black-white neighborhood in Garrison with 2 census tracts and a population of 12,388 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,625/month sits 17% lower than the Garrison citywide average ($1,952).

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tobin vs Garrison How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.3% +17%
Garrison: 26.0%
Average gross rent
$1,625 -17%
Garrison: $1,952
Average HH income
$107,582 +11%
Garrison: $96,916
Poverty rate
8.5% -21%
Garrison: 10.8%
Renter share
34.4% -30%
Garrison: 49.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tobin and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.5–3.7

Why Tobin scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–7.5 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 4.5–8.9 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.3 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 5.8–9.1 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.4 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–4.8 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Tobin vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tobin score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tobin: 3.13.1TobinNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Tobin

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005403702 3.7 6,358 24% $1,932
24005402603 2.5 6,030 37% $1,301
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tobin

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tobin

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tobin?

Tobin scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tobin compare to Garrison overall?

Tobin scores 2.8 points lower than Garrison overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,625 vs $1,952.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tobin?

Average gross rent in Tobin is $1,625/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tobin residents are renters?

34% of Tobin households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Garrison). The neighborhood has 12,388 residents.
Q5

Is Tobin a high social-vulnerability area?

Tobin sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tobin have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tobin is census tract 24005403702 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 3.7, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Tobin for landlords?

Tobin carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Garrison as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tobin?

Tobin has 12,476 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (39.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tobin

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Garrison

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tobin.

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