2 census tracts · pop 12,388 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 4.9–6.2
Tobin takes in 2 census tracts of Garrison, MD and houses 12,388 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.2/10. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.9 to 6.2, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,625, 17% below the Garrison average of $1,952. Against a Garrison baseline of 26.0%, around a third of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tobin vs GarrisonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tobin
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.3%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
13.7%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
26.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tobin
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tobin?
Tobin scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tobin compare to Garrison overall?
Tobin scores 0.7 points lower than Garrison overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,625 vs $1,952.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tobin?
Average gross rent in Tobin is $1,625/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tobin residents are renters?
34% of Tobin households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Garrison). The neighborhood has 12,388 residents.
Q5
Is Tobin a high social-vulnerability area?
Tobin sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tobin have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tobin is census tract 24005403702 (score 6.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 6.2, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Tobin for landlords?
Tobin carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Garrison as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tobin?
Tobin has 12,476 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (39.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
