Neighborhood · Ranked #3,627 of 84,120 nationally

Dumbarton Eviction Risk: High , Pikesville

Tract 24005403402 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 5,032 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 24005403402, in Dumbarton in Pikesville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,032. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,442 a month against an average household income of $52,446 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 16% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units2,395

Renter share32.4%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate17.2%

Median income$52,446

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pikesville and the region

Centroid at 39.3742, -76.7168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dumbarton scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Pikesville

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

17.2% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,442 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Pikesville

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Pikesville

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Pikesville

5.7

How Dumbarton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
9%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.4%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
10.8%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
32.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dumbarton

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pikesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005403402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403402?

Census tract 24005403402 in the Dumbarton neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005403402?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403402?

17.2% of residents in tract 24005403402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,032.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 80th, minority 76th, housing 87th.

Is tract 24005403402 considered part of Dumbarton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403402 fall within Dumbarton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005403402 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005403402 compare to Pikesville overall?

Tract 24005403402 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Pikesville at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pikesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005403402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pikesville

Top eight tracts in Pikesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.