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Neighborhood · Pikesville, MD

Dumbarton Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,032 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Dumbarton is a black-white neighborhood in Pikesville with 1 census tract and a population of 5,032 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 41% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,442/month sits 16% lower than the Pikesville citywide average ($1,707).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Dumbarton vs Pikesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +55%
Pikesville: 33.2%
Average gross rent
$1,442 -16%
Pikesville: $1,707
Average HH income
$52,446 -46%
Pikesville: $97,218
Poverty rate
17.2% +117%
Pikesville: 7.9%
Renter share
32.4% -1%
Pikesville: 32.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Dumbarton scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Dumbarton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dumbarton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dumbarton: 4.44.4DumbartonNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Dumbarton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005403402 4.4 5,032 51% $1,442
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dumbarton

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dumbarton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dumbarton?

Dumbarton scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dumbarton compare to Pikesville overall?

Dumbarton scores 1.6 points lower than Pikesville overall (6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,442 vs $1,707.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dumbarton?

Average gross rent in Dumbarton is $1,442/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dumbarton residents are renters?

32% of Dumbarton households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Pikesville). The neighborhood has 5,032 residents.
Q5

Is Dumbarton a high social-vulnerability area?

Dumbarton sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Dumbarton for landlords?

Dumbarton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pikesville as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Dumbarton?

Dumbarton has 4,899 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dumbarton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pikesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dumbarton.

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