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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

Arrowhead Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,015 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Arrowhead is a one-tract neighborhood of Frederick, MD, population 6,015. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Frederick rate of 31.2%.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

That places it #12 of 19 neighborhoods in Frederick. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,824, close to the Frederick average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arrowhead vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.0% +57%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,824 +3%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$125,265 +32%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
7.7% -18%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
17.9% -57%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arrowhead and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Arrowhead scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Arrowhead vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arrowhead score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arrowhead: 4.44.4ArrowheadNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arrowhead

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021750701 4.4 6,015 49% $1,824
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arrowhead

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arrowhead

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arrowhead?

Arrowhead scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arrowhead compare to Frederick overall?

Arrowhead scores 0.2 points lower than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,824 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arrowhead?

Average gross rent in Arrowhead is $1,824/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arrowhead residents are renters?

18% of Arrowhead households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 6,015 residents.
Q5

Is Arrowhead a high social-vulnerability area?

Arrowhead sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arrowhead for landlords?

Arrowhead carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arrowhead?

Arrowhead has 5,978 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.3%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arrowhead

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arrowhead.

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