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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

EastChurch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,558 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

EastChurch maps to a single census tract in Frederick, MD and houses 2,558 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 23% against 31.2% citywide, putting EastChurch 8.6% under its own city. At $1,504 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Frederick commands.

Disability prevalence reaches 19.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. That places it #17 of 19 neighborhoods in Frederick. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Westbrook and Clover Hill score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $142,949, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
EastChurch vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
22.6% -28%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,504 -15%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$142,949 +50%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
0.9% -90%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
12.3% -70%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across EastChurch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why EastChurch scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
23% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
0.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

EastChurch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

EastChurch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.EastChurch: 3.83.8EastChurchNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in EastChurch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021750804 3.8 2,558 23% $1,504
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in EastChurch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About EastChurch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for EastChurch?

EastChurch scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does EastChurch compare to Frederick overall?

EastChurch scores 0.8 points lower than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,504 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in EastChurch?

Average gross rent in EastChurch is $1,504/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of EastChurch residents are renters?

12% of EastChurch households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 2,558 residents.
Q5

Is EastChurch a high social-vulnerability area?

EastChurch sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is EastChurch for landlords?

EastChurch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of EastChurch?

EastChurch has 2,802 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.5%), Other / Multiracial (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near EastChurch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to EastChurch.

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