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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

EastChurch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,558 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

EastChurch maps to a single census tract in Frederick, MD and houses 2,558 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 23% against 31.2% citywide, putting EastChurch 8.6% under its own city. At $1,504 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Frederick commands.

Disability prevalence reaches 19.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. That places it #17 of 19 neighborhoods in Frederick. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Westbrook and Clover Hill score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $142,949, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
EastChurch vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
22.6% -28%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,504 -15%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$142,949 +50%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
0.9% -90%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
12.3% -70%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across EastChurch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why EastChurch scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
23% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
0.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

EastChurch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

EastChurch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8EastChurchNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in EastChurch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24021750804 3.8 2,558 23% $1,504
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in EastChurch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About EastChurch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for EastChurch?

EastChurch scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does EastChurch compare to Frederick overall?

EastChurch scores 0.8 points lower than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,504 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in EastChurch?

Average gross rent in EastChurch is $1,504/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of EastChurch residents are renters?

12% of EastChurch households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 2,558 residents.
Q5

Is EastChurch a high social-vulnerability area?

EastChurch sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is EastChurch for landlords?

EastChurch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of EastChurch?

EastChurch has 2,802 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.5%), Other / Multiracial (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near EastChurch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to EastChurch.

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