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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

EastChurch Eviction Risk: Lower , Frederick

Tract 24021750804 · Frederick County, MD · pop 2,558 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24021750804 sits in the EastChurch area of Frederick eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Cost burden runs 23% here against 39.1% across Frederick County.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,086
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$142,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In EastChurch
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 22 tracts In Frederick
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 65 tracts In Frederick County
Moderate
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,176 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Frederick and the region

Centroid at 39.4257, -77.3950 · click any tract to drill in

Why EastChurch scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,504 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frederick
4.5

How EastChurch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
EastChurch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 750804Frederick: 4.64.6Frederickparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.55.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in EastChurch

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,504, 15% below the Frederick average. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $142,949, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24021750804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021750804?

Census tract 24021750804 in the EastChurch neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24021750804?

Median gross rent is $1,504/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24021750804?

0.9% of residents in tract 24021750804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,558.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24021750804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 93th, minority 54th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 24021750804 considered part of EastChurch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021750804 fall within EastChurch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24021750804 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24021750804 compare to Frederick overall?

Tract 24021750804 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Frederick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Frederick

Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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