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Green Valley, Maryland eviction risk overview
City brief · 13,602 residents

Green Valley, MD Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Frederick County · Population 13,602

In 2026
Risk score
6
ELEVATED

65th percentile, Maryland.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.2 Average3.4 Now6
6.8 2.2 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 2.3 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.4 1984 · score 2.3 1985 · score 2.3 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.3 1988 · score 2.3 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.3 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.8 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 3.0 1998 · score 3.0 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.0 2002 · score 3.0 2003 · score 2.9 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 2.8 2006 · score 2.8 2007 · score 2.8 2008 · score 3.6 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 4.0 2014 · score 4.0 2015 · score 4.0 2016 · score 4.1 2017 · score 4.2 2018 · score 4.2 2019 · score 4.3 2020 · score 6.6 2021 · score 6.8 2022 · score 6.3 2023 · score 6.0 2024 · score 6.1 2025 · score 6.0 2026 · score 6.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 5.7 Economic 4.2 Supply 5.9 Rent Control 3.2 Eviction 5.8 Tenant 2.0 Housing 2.7 6 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +8.8% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    Maryland legislature & governorship
    5.7
  4. Economic stress
    2.9% poverty · 4.3% unemp.
    4.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,000 average · 1.8% renters
    5.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.3% of income on rent
    3.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    153 days filing → judgment
    5.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    1.8% renters
    2.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Frederick County
High
#5 of 28 cities
Rank in county, 85th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 28 cities in Frederick County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Maryland
Elevated
#202 of 532 cities
Rank in state, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#202 of 532 cities in Maryland for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Green Valley risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Green Valley: 6.06.0Green ValleyThis cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 153d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,000/mo. A contested eviction takes 153 days and costs $5,639–$16,455 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 1.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 13,602 residents, 1.8% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 2.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (Dem margin +8.8% (2024)). State climate at 5.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.8, housing court bias 2.7, rent-control risk 3.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.2. Supply constraint: 5.9. The numbers behind those: 2.9% poverty, 4.3% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Green Valley sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Baltimore, MD · 147d · ~$11.8k all-in ($80/day) · score 6.7 Baltimore Columbia, MD · 136d · ~$11.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.1 Columbia Germantown, MD · 153d · ~$11.8k all-in ($77/day) · score 6.2 Germantown Frederick, MD · 147d · ~$10.1k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Frederick Silver Spring, MD · 147d · ~$11.0k all-in ($75/day) · score 6.5 Silver Spring Ellicott City, MD · 143d · ~$11.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 6.2 Ellicott City Glen Burnie, MD · 157d · ~$11.7k all-in ($75/day) · score 6.2 Glen Burnie Gaithersburg, MD · 145d · ~$10.8k all-in ($74/day) · score 6.3 Gaithersburg Bethesda, MD · 143d · ~$11.8k all-in ($83/day) · score 6 Bethesda Rockville, MD · 150d · ~$11.0k all-in ($73/day) · score 6.4 Rockville Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Green Valley
Green Valley · 153d · ~$11.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Green Valley, MD

Landlording in Green Valley, Maryland, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Green Valley is a city of 13,602 residents where 1.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,000/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Green Valley eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Green Valley closes 153 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Green Valley's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Green Valley runs $5,639 to $16,455 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 153 days of typical timeline and $3,000/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2/10 in Green Valley, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Maryland, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Green Valley: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Maryland's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $16,455 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Green Valley

Trap · 1.8%
1.8% renter share against 13,602 residents produces roughly 243 rental occupants in Green Valley. Frederick County voted D 9.6% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

How long does an eviction actually take in Green Valley?

On average, a full eviction in Green Valley, Maryland, takes about 153 days from the time a tenant stops paying rent until they are removed from the property. This includes notice periods, court scheduling, and potential appeals. It's a lengthy process.

Q2

What's the maximum security deposit I can charge in Green Valley?

In Green Valley, as per Maryland state law, you can charge a security deposit up to two months' rent. If your rent is $3,000/month, the maximum deposit you can collect is $6,000.

Q3

Do I need a reason to not renew a lease in Green Valley?

No, Maryland does not have a statewide "just cause" eviction requirement. For a periodic tenancy (like month-to-month) or at the end of a fixed-term lease, you can generally choose not to renew without providing a specific reason, as long as you provide the legally required 60-day notice.

Q4

Can I evict a tenant for having a Section 8 voucher in Green Valley?

No, absolutely not. Maryland has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to or evict a tenant solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or any other lawful source of income. You must apply your screening criteria consistently to all applicants.

Q5

What if a tenant damages my property during an eviction?

Property damage during an eviction is unfortunately common. Document all damage with photos and videos. You can deduct the cost of repairs from the security deposit, provided you follow Maryland's strict rules for itemized deductions and return deadlines (45 days). If the damage exceeds the deposit, you can sue the tenant in small claims court for the difference, but collecting on such a judgment can be difficult.

Q6

When should I hire an attorney for an eviction in Green Valley?

For most landlords, it's best to consult an attorney as soon as you realize an eviction might be necessary, ideally after the 10-day pay-or-quit notice has been served and the tenant hasn't complied. An attorney can ensure all notices are correct, court filings are proper, and represent you effectively in court, saving you costly mistakes and delays. Given the high costs and long timelines, professional legal help is a worthwhile investment in Maryland.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6/10 places Green Valley in the 65th percentile of Maryland cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.