Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24021751802 · Frederick County, MD · pop 3,991 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Green Valley
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 24021751802 in Green Valley, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,991. Cost burden runs 5% here against 39.1% across Frederick County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$161,447
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Green Valley and the region
Centroid at 39.4201, -77.1883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Valley scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Green Valley
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,040 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Valley
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Valley
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Valley
2.7
How Green Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Valley
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,040, 32% below the Green Valley average.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.1 points below the Frederick County average of 4.3. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $161,447, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021751802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021751802?
Census tract 24021751802 in Green Valley scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021751802?
Median gross rent is $2,040/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021751802?
3.5% of residents in tract 24021751802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021751802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 5th, minority 5th, housing 23th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 24021751802 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24021751802 compare to Green Valley overall?
Tract 24021751802 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Green Valley at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley
Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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