Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Frederick County average of 4.3.

Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,636, 12% below the Green Valley average. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $180,239, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.