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Neighborhood · Thurmont, MD

Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,878 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Gateway is a one-tract neighborhood of Thurmont, MD, population 4,878. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 27.4% citywide, putting Gateway 22.4% over its own city.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.9/10. At $1,042 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Thurmont commands. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $94,677, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gateway vs Thurmont How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.8% +82%
Thurmont: 27.4%
Average gross rent
$1,042 +12%
Thurmont: $927
Average HH income
$94,677 +2%
Thurmont: $92,391
Poverty rate
11.6% +3%
Thurmont: 11.3%
Renter share
25.7% -4%
Thurmont: 26.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gateway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Gateway scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Gateway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gateway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5GatewayNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gateway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24021753001 5.5 4,878 50% $1,042
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gateway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gateway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gateway?

Gateway scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gateway compare to Thurmont overall?

Gateway scores 1.0 points higher than Thurmont overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $927.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gateway?

Average gross rent in Gateway is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gateway residents are renters?

26% of Gateway households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Thurmont). The neighborhood has 4,878 residents.
Q5

Is Gateway a high social-vulnerability area?

Gateway sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gateway for landlords?

Gateway carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Thurmont as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gateway?

Gateway has 5,089 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.9%), Hispanic / Latino (5.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gateway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Thurmont

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gateway.

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