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Neighborhood · Thurmont, MD

Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,878 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Gateway is a one-tract neighborhood of Thurmont, MD, population 4,878. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 27.4% citywide, putting Gateway 22.4% over its own city.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.9/10. At $1,042 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Thurmont commands. Only 26% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $94,677, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gateway vs Thurmont How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.8% +82%
Thurmont: 27.4%
Average gross rent
$1,042 +12%
Thurmont: $927
Average HH income
$94,677 +2%
Thurmont: $92,391
Poverty rate
11.6% +3%
Thurmont: 11.3%
Renter share
25.7% -4%
Thurmont: 26.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gateway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Gateway scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Gateway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gateway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Gateway: 5.55.5GatewayNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gateway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021753001 5.5 4,878 50% $1,042
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gateway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gateway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gateway?

Gateway scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gateway compare to Thurmont overall?

Gateway scores 1.0 points higher than Thurmont overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $927.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gateway?

Average gross rent in Gateway is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gateway residents are renters?

26% of Gateway households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Thurmont). The neighborhood has 4,878 residents.
Q5

Is Gateway a high social-vulnerability area?

Gateway sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gateway for landlords?

Gateway carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Thurmont as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gateway?

Gateway has 5,089 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.9%), Hispanic / Latino (5.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gateway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Thurmont

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gateway.

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