Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Braemar Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aberdeen
Tract 24025302902 ·
Harford County, MD · pop 4,650 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24025302902 covers part of the Braemar area of Aberdeen, MD, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,650. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 11%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$71,756
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Braemar
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Aberdeen
Moderate
Within county
90th percentile
#7 of 59 tracts In Harford County
High
Within state
76th percentile
#348 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aberdeen and the region
Centroid at 39.5009, -76.1740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braemar scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aberdeen
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,254 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.0
How Braemar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
40%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.3%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
17.8%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braemar
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Harford County average of 41.1%. Against the Harford County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,254, close to the Aberdeen average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $71,756.
25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025302902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025302902?
Census tract 24025302902 in the Braemar neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025302902?
Median gross rent is $1,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025302902?
5.3% of residents in tract 24025302902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025302902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 73th, minority 61th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 24025302902 considered part of Braemar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025302902 fall within Braemar (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025302902 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025302902 compare to Aberdeen overall?
Tract 24025302902 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Aberdeen at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aberdeen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aberdeen
Top eight tracts in Aberdeen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.