Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Aspen Hill Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 24031703301 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,185 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 24031703301 covers part of the Aspen Hill Park area of Aspen Hill, MD, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,185 residents. Average gross rent is $3,083, 61% above the Aspen Hill average.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%

Tract context

Occupied units1,419

Renter share4.9%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate6.8%

Median income$122,423

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0701, -77.0936 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspen Hill Park scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

6.8% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$3,083 rent vs county FMR

8.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspen Hill

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.5

How Aspen Hill Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.6%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
18.5%Food insecurity
10.6%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
17.6%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
25.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspen Hill Park

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 33.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $122,423.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703301?

Census tract 24031703301 in the Aspen Hill Park neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031703301?

Median gross rent is $3,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703301?

6.8% of residents in tract 24031703301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,185.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 70th, minority 82th, housing 22th.

Is tract 24031703301 considered part of Aspen Hill Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703301 fall within Aspen Hill Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031703301 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031703301 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703301 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.