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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Alta Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethesda

Tract 24031704403 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,434 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In Alta Vista in Bethesda, census tract 24031704403 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #23,744 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,780 a month while the average household earns $92,625 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 26% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$92,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alta Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Very High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#999 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 39.0166, -77.1050 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alta Vista scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2

How Alta Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alta Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 704403Bethesda: 6.06.0Bethesdaparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031704403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704403?

Census tract 24031704403 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031704403?

Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704403?

3.8% of residents in tract 24031704403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,434.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 67th, minority 54th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 24031704403 considered part of Alta Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704403 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031704403 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031704403 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031704403 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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