Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Alta Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bethesda
Tract 24031704403 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,434 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 24031704403 in the Alta Vista area of Bethesda, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,434. Cost burden runs 23% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 26%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$92,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Alta Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
94th percentile
#2 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Very High
Within county
64th percentile
#84 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
73th percentile
#398 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 39.0166, -77.1050 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alta Vista scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How Alta Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
15%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.4%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
9.5%Frequent mental distress
20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,780, 28% below the Bethesda average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031704403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704403?
Census tract 24031704403 in the Alta Vista neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031704403?
Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704403?
3.8% of residents in tract 24031704403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,434.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 67th, minority 54th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 24031704403 considered part of Alta Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704403 fall within Alta Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031704403 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031704403 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031704403 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.