Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
South Bethesda Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24031704803 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,991 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 24031704803 sits in the South Bethesda eviction risk area of Bethesda eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 3,991. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 32%Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,382
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$121,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In South Bethesda
Moderate
Within parent city
71th percentile
#6 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Elevated
Within county
45th percentile
#129 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
59th percentile
#597 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9779, -77.0964 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Bethesda scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,930 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How South Bethesda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
40%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.4%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
17.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Bethesda
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10. At $1,930 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Bethesda commands. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031704803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704803?
Census tract 24031704803 in the South Bethesda neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031704803?
Median gross rent is $1,930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704803?
4.0% of residents in tract 24031704803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 27th, minority 52th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 24031704803 considered part of South Bethesda?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704803 fall within South Bethesda (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031704803 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031704803 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031704803 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.