Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Neelsville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Germantown
Tract 24031700313 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 24031700313 covers part of the Neelsville area of Germantown, MD, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$103,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1947, -77.2571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Neelsville scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Neelsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Neelsville
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,115, close to the Germantown average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $103,750. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700313
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700313?
Census tract 24031700313 in the Neelsville neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700313?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700313?
6.0% of residents in tract 24031700313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700313?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700313 considered part of Neelsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700313 fall within Neelsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700313 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700313 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700313 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Brandermill
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
North Germantown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Kings Square
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Germantown Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Brandermill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Seneca Park
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
North Germantown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related