Neighborhood · Germantown, MD

Neelsville Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,121 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Neelsville is a black-asian neighborhood in Germantown with 1 census tract and a population of 4,121 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 7% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,115/month sits 4% higher than the Germantown citywide average ($2,040).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Neelsville vs Germantown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

39.7% +32%

Germantown: 30.1%

Average gross rent

$2,115 +4%

Germantown: $2,040

Average HH income

$103,750 -7%

Germantown: $112,149

Poverty rate

6.0% -29%

Germantown: 8.5%

Renter share

54.3% +66%

Germantown: 32.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Neelsville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Neelsville scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

6.0% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Neelsville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Neelsville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031700313	3	4,121	40%	$2,115

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 51%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 18%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Neelsville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.4%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
12.8%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
7.8%No health insurance
19.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Neelsville

What is the eviction-risk score for Neelsville?

Neelsville scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Neelsville compare to Germantown overall?

Neelsville scores 3.2 points lower than Germantown overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,115 vs $2,040.

What is the average rent in Neelsville?

Average gross rent in Neelsville is $2,115/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Neelsville residents are renters?

54% of Neelsville households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Germantown). The neighborhood has 4,121 residents.

Is Neelsville a high social-vulnerability area?

Neelsville sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Neelsville for landlords?

Neelsville carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Germantown as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Neelsville?

Neelsville has 4,166 residents (Black-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (26.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Neelsville

3.6 North Germantown 2 tracts · pop 11,590 3.8 Brandermill 2 tracts · pop 7,591 1.8 Hurley Ridge 2 tracts · pop 12,319 3.2 Germantown Park 2 tracts · pop 14,592 3.6 Watkins Mill 2 tracts · pop 11,332 4.2 Metropolitan Grove 4 tracts · pop 17,069

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Germantown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Neelsville.

2.9 Black Hill 1 tracts · pop 6,880 3.3 Seneca Park 1 tracts · pop 3,166 3.3 Germantown Park 2 tracts · pop 14,592 3.4 Williamsburg Square 1 tracts · pop 5,635 3.6 North Germantown 2 tracts · pop 11,590 3.7 Kings Square 1 tracts · pop 4,135

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