Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Takoma Park
Tract 24031701701 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,726 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
24031701701 is a census tract in the Carroll Manor area of Takoma Park, MD. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,726. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$103,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Takoma Park and the region
Centroid at 38.9768, -77.0074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Manor scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Takoma Park
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Takoma Park
6.5
How Carroll Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Manor
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0.
Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,252 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Takoma Park commands. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Against average income of $103,750, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701701?
Census tract 24031701701 in the Carroll Manor neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701701?
Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701701?
13.0% of residents in tract 24031701701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,726.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 91th, minority 63th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701701 considered part of Carroll Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701701 fall within Carroll Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701701 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701701 compare to Takoma Park overall?
Tract 24031701701 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Takoma Park at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Takoma Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Takoma Park
Top eight tracts in Takoma Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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