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Neighborhood · Takoma Park, MD

Carroll Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,373 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 6.5–7.5

Carroll Manor spans 2 census tracts of Takoma Park, MD and houses 6,373 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. 66% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Takoma Park rate of 32.6%.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 6.5 to 7.5. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

At $1,346 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Takoma Park commands. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Takoma Park and Carole Highlands.

Against average income of $115,116, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carroll Manor vs Takoma Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.4% +104%
Takoma Park: 32.6%
Average gross rent
$1,346 -6%
Takoma Park: $1,432
Average HH income
$115,116 +18%
Takoma Park: $97,872
Poverty rate
11.6% +14%
Takoma Park: 10.2%
Renter share
39.4% -14%
Takoma Park: 45.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carroll Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–7.5

Why Carroll Manor scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.4–3.3 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Carroll Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carroll Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.1Carroll ManorNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carroll Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031701701 7.5 3,726 52% $1,252
24031701704 6.5 2,647 87% $1,479
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carroll Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carroll Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carroll Manor?

Carroll Manor scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carroll Manor compare to Takoma Park overall?

Carroll Manor scores 0.5 points higher than Takoma Park overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,346 vs $1,432.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carroll Manor?

Average gross rent in Carroll Manor is $1,346/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carroll Manor residents are renters?

39% of Carroll Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Takoma Park). The neighborhood has 6,373 residents.
Q5

Is Carroll Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Carroll Manor sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carroll Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carroll Manor is census tract 24031701701 (score 7.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Carroll Manor for landlords?

Carroll Manor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Takoma Park as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carroll Manor?

Carroll Manor has 6,443 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carroll Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Takoma Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carroll Manor.

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