Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Takoma Park
Tract 24031701704 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,647 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 24031701704 sits in the Carroll Manor area of Takoma Park, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 87% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$131,116
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Takoma Park and the region
Centroid at 38.9758, -76.9982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Manor scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,479 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Takoma Park
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Takoma Park
6.5
How Carroll Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Manor
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $131,116, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,479, close to the Takoma Park average. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701704?
Census tract 24031701704 in the Carroll Manor neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701704?
Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701704?
9.7% of residents in tract 24031701704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 63th, minority 63th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701704 considered part of Carroll Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701704 fall within Carroll Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701704 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701704 compare to Takoma Park overall?
Tract 24031701704 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Takoma Park at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Takoma Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Takoma Park
Top eight tracts in Takoma Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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