Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Takoma Park
Tract 24031701704 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,647 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Carroll Manor in Takoma Park anchors census tract 24031701704, which lands at 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 87% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,479 monthly, set against $131,116 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$131,116
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Takoma Park and the region
Centroid at 38.9758, -76.9982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Manor scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,479 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Takoma Park
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Takoma Park
6.5
How Carroll Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Takoma Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701704?
Census tract 24031701704 in the Carroll Manor neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701704?
Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701704?
9.7% of residents in tract 24031701704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 63th, minority 63th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701704 considered part of Carroll Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701704 fall within Carroll Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701704 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701704 compare to Takoma Park overall?
Tract 24031701704 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Takoma Park at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Takoma Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Takoma Park
Top eight tracts in Takoma Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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