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Neighborhood · Beltsville, MD

Eleven Cedars Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 16,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5–7

Eleven Cedars is a 3-tract neighborhood of Beltsville, MD, population 16,030. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Beltsville baseline of 32.4%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5 to 7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $2,363, 20% above the Beltsville average of $1,963. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.

Filings are well documented here: 8,725 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 159.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 90.9% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $105,895. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Eleven Cedars vs Beltsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +38%
Beltsville: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$2,363 +20%
Beltsville: $1,963
Average HH income
$105,895 +9%
Beltsville: $97,115
Poverty rate
12.5% +8%
Beltsville: 11.6%
Renter share
54.6% +21%
Beltsville: 45.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Eleven Cedars and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5–7

Why Eleven Cedars scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
12.5% below poverty line · Range 2.1–4.3 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–8.4 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Eleven Cedars vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Eleven Cedars score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1Eleven CedarsNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Eleven Cedars?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 5 to 7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Eleven Cedars

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033807410 7 4,877 68% $3,107
24033807409 6.8 4,013 39% $1,832
24033807405 5 7,140 33% $2,153
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Eleven Cedars

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8,725Total filings (sum)
  • 86.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 159.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 86.52%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Eleven Cedars

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Eleven Cedars

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Eleven Cedars?

Eleven Cedars scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Eleven Cedars compare to Beltsville overall?

Eleven Cedars scores 0.1 points higher than Beltsville overall (6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,363 vs $1,963.
Q3

What is the average rent in Eleven Cedars?

Average gross rent in Eleven Cedars is $2,363/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Eleven Cedars residents are renters?

55% of Eleven Cedars households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Beltsville). The neighborhood has 16,030 residents.
Q5

Is Eleven Cedars a high social-vulnerability area?

Eleven Cedars sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Eleven Cedars have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Eleven Cedars is census tract 24033807410 (score 7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 7, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Eleven Cedars for landlords?

Eleven Cedars carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Beltsville as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Eleven Cedars?

Eleven Cedars has 15,821 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (37.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Eleven Cedars

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Beltsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Eleven Cedars.

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