Neighborhood · College Park, MD

Oak Springs Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 17,213 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 4.5–9.2

Oak Springs spans 3 census tracts of College Park, MD, population 17,213. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.5 to 9.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,235 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 46.2% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $2,080, 9% above the College Park average of $1,912. Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 47% of renter households. The closest comparables inside the same city are Riverdale Park Station and Crystal Springs. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $101,699.

42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

3 tracts · population-weighted

Oak Springs vs College Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.8% +1%

College Park: 46.4%

Average gross rent

$2,080 +9%

College Park: $1,912

Average HH income

$101,699 +36%

College Park: $74,867

Poverty rate

19.5% -33%

College Park: 29.3%

Renter share

42.1% -36%

College Park: 66.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.5–9.2

Why Oak Springs scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 8.9–9.3 across tracts

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

42% renter households · Range 3.5–9.7 across tracts

8.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–9.2 across tracts

8.5

Economic stress

19.5% below poverty line · Range 1.3–8.6 across tracts

4.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–6.6 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Oak Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oak Springs?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 4.7 points from 4.5 to 9.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

9.2 6.6 4.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Oak Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24033807000	9.2	8,170	49%	$1,418
24033806900	6.6	4,969	29%	$2,664
24033806800	4.5	4,074	63%	$2,694

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 18%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Springs

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,235Total filings (sum)
18.69%Avg annual filing rate
46.2%Peak year (2016)
23.84%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.9%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility shutoff threat
20.3%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
14.0%No health insurance
26.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Oak Springs

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Springs?

Oak Springs scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Oak Springs compare to College Park overall?

Oak Springs scores 0.5 points lower than College Park overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 46% citywide. Average rent: $2,080 vs $1,912.

What is the average rent in Oak Springs?

Average gross rent in Oak Springs is $2,080/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Oak Springs residents are renters?

42% of Oak Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in College Park). The neighborhood has 17,213 residents.

Is Oak Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Springs sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Oak Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Springs is census tract 24033807000 (score 9.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 9.2, a spread of 4.7 points.

How safe is Oak Springs for landlords?

Oak Springs carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to College Park as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Springs?

Oak Springs has 17,184 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (34%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Springs

6.7 Franklin Park 3 tracts · pop 13,322 9 Crystal Springs 2 tracts · pop 17,916 5.6 Oakview 2 tracts · pop 5,625 6.6 Adelphi Park 2 tracts · pop 7,845 6.6 College Heights Estates 2 tracts · pop 7,722 6.3 Eleven Cedars 3 tracts · pop 16,030

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside College Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Springs.

7.3 Riverdale Park Station 1 tracts · pop 3,102 9.1 Crystal Springs 2 tracts · pop 17,916

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