Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Chapel Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cheverly
Tract 24033803100 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,616 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 24033803100 in the Chapel Oaks area of Cheverly, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,214
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$59,821
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheverly and the region
Centroid at 38.9093, -76.9163 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chapel Oaks scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheverly
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,519 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheverly
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheverly
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheverly
5.4
How Chapel Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,450Total filings over 4 yrs
- 183.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 195.1%Peak (2011)
- 859Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chapel Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.6%Housing insecurity
- 18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.8%Food insecurity
- 29.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.6%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chapel Oaks
30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 9/10. Food insecurity runs 33.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 29.1% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,519 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Cheverly commands. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Prince George's County average of 45.6%.
Against the Prince George's County average of 4.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 3,450 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2011, when 195.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 183.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033803100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803100?
Census tract 24033803100 in the Chapel Oaks neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033803100?
Median gross rent is $1,519/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803100?
26.1% of residents in tract 24033803100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,616.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 54th, minority 94th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 24033803100 considered part of Chapel Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033803100 fall within Chapel Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,450 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 183.63% of renter households, peaking at 195.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033803100 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033803100 compare to Cheverly overall?
Tract 24033803100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cheverly at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheverly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cheverly
Top eight tracts in Cheverly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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