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Neighborhood · Cheverly, MD

Chapel Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,083 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.4–5.2

Chapel Oaks is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Cheverly with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,083 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,639/month sits 14% lower than the Cheverly citywide average ($1,907).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Oaks vs Cheverly How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.9% +102%
Cheverly: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,639 -14%
Cheverly: $1,907
Average HH income
$65,116 -45%
Cheverly: $117,633
Poverty rate
18.5% +246%
Cheverly: 5.4%
Renter share
40.4% +46%
Cheverly: 27.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–5.2

Why Chapel Oaks scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.6–9.5 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.4 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 3.6–5.8 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–8.5 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
18.5% below poverty line · Range 3.2–6.5 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–2.5 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Chapel Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chapel Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Chapel Oaks: 4.94.9Chapel OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 6.56.5Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Chapel Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033803001 5.2 3,467 68% $1,729
24033803100 4.4 2,616 52% $1,519
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chapel Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,423Total filings (sum)
  • 118.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 195.1%Peak year (2014)
  • 145.72%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chapel Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Oaks?

Chapel Oaks scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chapel Oaks compare to Cheverly overall?

Chapel Oaks scores 1.6 points lower than Cheverly overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,639 vs $1,907.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chapel Oaks?

Average gross rent in Chapel Oaks is $1,639/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chapel Oaks residents are renters?

40% of Chapel Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Cheverly). The neighborhood has 6,083 residents.
Q5

Is Chapel Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Chapel Oaks sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Chapel Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Chapel Oaks is census tract 24033803001 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.2, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Chapel Oaks for landlords?

Chapel Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cheverly as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Oaks?

Chapel Oaks has 6,620 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (82.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chapel Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cheverly

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chapel Oaks.

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