2 census tracts · pop 6,083 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.6–6
Chapel Oaks takes in 2 census tracts of Cheverly, MD and houses 6,083 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Cheverly rate of 30.1%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 28.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 35.6% of adults, 17.8 points above the national rate. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Filings are well documented here: 4,423 across 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,639, 14% below the Cheverly average of $1,907.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.2/10. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 195.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 153.6% in 2016 against a 195.1% peak.
Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Cheverly, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Kenilworth and Radiant Valley.
With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Oaks vs CheverlyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Chapel Oaks
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4,423Total filings (sum)
118.65%Avg annual filing rate
195.1%Peak year (2014)
145.72%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Oaks
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
29.0%Housing insecurity
19.7%Utility shutoff threat
35.8%Food insecurity
31.2%SNAP enrollment
16.1%No health insurance
34.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chapel Oaks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Oaks?
Chapel Oaks scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chapel Oaks compare to Cheverly overall?
Chapel Oaks scores 1.2 points higher than Cheverly overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,639 vs $1,907.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chapel Oaks?
Average gross rent in Chapel Oaks is $1,639/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chapel Oaks residents are renters?
40% of Chapel Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Cheverly). The neighborhood has 6,083 residents.
Q5
Is Chapel Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?
Chapel Oaks sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Chapel Oaks have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Chapel Oaks is census tract 24033803100 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Chapel Oaks for landlords?
Chapel Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cheverly as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Oaks?
Chapel Oaks has 6,620 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (82.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
