Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Chapel Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cheverly
Tract 24033803001 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 3,467 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 24033803001 covers part of the Chapel Oaks area of Fairmount Heights, MD, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,467. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,197
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$69,112
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheverly and the region
Centroid at 38.9026, -76.9111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chapel Oaks scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheverly
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,729 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheverly
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheverly
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheverly
8.5
How Chapel Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 973Total filings over 4 yrs
- 69.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 64.7%Peak (2014)
- 208Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chapel Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.0%Housing insecurity
- 20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.3%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 16.4%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chapel Oaks
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10. Food insecurity runs 37.3% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 9.1/10. SNAP participation runs 32.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 973 filings here across 4 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points above the Prince George's County average of 4.9. The worst year on record was 2014, when 64.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 69.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Average gross rent is $1,729, close to the Fairmount Heights average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $69,112.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033803001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803001?
Census tract 24033803001 in the Chapel Oaks neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033803001?
Median gross rent is $1,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803001?
12.7% of residents in tract 24033803001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,467.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 69th, minority 97th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 24033803001 considered part of Chapel Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033803001 fall within Chapel Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 973 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 69.62% of renter households, peaking at 64.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033803001 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033803001 compare to Cheverly overall?
Tract 24033803001 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Cheverly at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheverly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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