Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
North Potomac Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forest Heights
Tract 24033801500 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,523 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 24033801500 in the North Potomac Vista area of Forest Heights, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,523 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units763
Renter share10.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$96,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Heights and the region
Centroid at 38.8038, -77.0117 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Potomac Vista scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Heights
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Heights
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.3
How North Potomac Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2012)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Potomac Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.0%Food insecurity
- 16.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Potomac Vista
Average gross rent is $2,154, 45% above the Forest Heights average. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 filings here across 4 tracked years.
It sits 0.8 points below the Prince George's County average of 4.9. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801500?
Census tract 24033801500 in the North Potomac Vista neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801500?
Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801500?
6.7% of residents in tract 24033801500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,523.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 95th, minority 94th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801500 considered part of North Potomac Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801500 fall within North Potomac Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.37% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801500 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801500 compare to Forest Heights overall?
Tract 24033801500 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Forest Heights at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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