Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
South Lawn Eviction Risk: Lower , Oxon Hill
Tract 24033801409 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,646 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 24033801409 in the South Lawn area of Oxon Hill, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,646. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,005
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$103,530
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oxon Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7901, -76.9822 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lawn scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oxon Hill
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oxon Hill
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oxon Hill
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oxon Hill
5.1
How South Lawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,838Total filings over 4 yrs
- 81.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 99.0%Peak (2014)
- 545Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 105% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 12.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lawn
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
It sits 1.7 points below the Prince George's County average of 4.9. The filing record is not thin: 1,838 evictions over 4 years of observation. At $1,467 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Oxon Hill commands.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 99.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 81.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $103,530, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801409?
Census tract 24033801409 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801409?
Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801409?
2.4% of residents in tract 24033801409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,646.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 78th, minority 93th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801409 considered part of South Lawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801409 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801409?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,838 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 81.33% of renter households, peaking at 99.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801409 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801409 compare to Oxon Hill overall?
Tract 24033801409 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Oxon Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oxon Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oxon Hill
Top eight tracts in Oxon Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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