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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

South Lawn Eviction Risk: Lower , Oxon Hill

Tract 24033801409 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,646 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the South Lawn area of Oxon Hill, census tract 24033801409 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,467 a month while the average household earns $103,530 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 10% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,005
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$103,530

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Lawn
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Oxon Hill
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#139 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#946 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oxon Hill and the region

Centroid at 38.7901, -76.9822 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lawn scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oxon Hill
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oxon Hill
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oxon Hill
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oxon Hill
5.1

How South Lawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 801409Oxon Hill: 6.46.4Oxon Hillparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,838Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 81.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 99.0%Peak (2014)
  • 545Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338014092011: 266 filings (44.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 434 filings (72.45/100 renter HHs)2014: 593 filings (99.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 545 filings (109.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 105% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lawn

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oxon Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,838 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 81.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 99.0% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033801409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801409?

Census tract 24033801409 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033801409?

Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801409?

2.4% of residents in tract 24033801409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,646.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 78th, minority 93th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 24033801409 considered part of South Lawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801409 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801409?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,838 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 81.33% of renter households, peaking at 99.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033801409 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033801409 compare to Oxon Hill overall?

Tract 24033801409 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Oxon Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oxon Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oxon Hill

Top eight tracts in Oxon Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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