Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
South Lawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oxon Hill
Tract 24033801405 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,346 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24033801405 sits in the South Lawn area of Oxon Hill, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$74,427
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oxon Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7979, -76.9903 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lawn scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oxon Hill
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oxon Hill
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oxon Hill
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oxon Hill
5.1
How South Lawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,247Total filings over 4 yrs
- 75.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 91.8%Peak (2014)
- 455Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 20.3%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lawn
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 9/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,247 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 91.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 75.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Prince George's County average of 4.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801405?
Census tract 24033801405 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801405?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801405?
12.2% of residents in tract 24033801405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,346.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 82th, minority 96th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801405 considered part of South Lawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801405 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,247 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 75.25% of renter households, peaking at 91.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801405 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801405 compare to Oxon Hill overall?
Tract 24033801405 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oxon Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oxon Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oxon Hill
Top eight tracts in Oxon Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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