2 census tracts · pop 6,992 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 3.2–4.9
South Lawn takes in 2 census tracts of Oxon Hill, MD, population 6,992. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 68% against 31.6% citywide, putting South Lawn 36.8% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.2 to 4.9. A 1.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Filings are well documented here: 4,085 across 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 99.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 90.2% in 2016 against a 99.0% peak.
That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Oxon Hill. The closest comparables inside the same city are Murray Hill and Brinkley Overlook. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,678, close to the Oxon Hill average.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Lawn vs Oxon HillHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Lawn
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4,085Total filings (sum)
77.55%Avg annual filing rate
99.0%Peak year (2014)
85.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Lawn
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.0%Housing insecurity
11.5%Utility shutoff threat
25.1%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
17.7%No health insurance
29.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Lawn
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Lawn?
South Lawn scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Lawn compare to Oxon Hill overall?
South Lawn scores 0.3 points higher than Oxon Hill overall (4/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,678 vs $1,721.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Lawn?
Average gross rent in South Lawn is $1,678/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Lawn residents are renters?
42% of South Lawn households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Oxon Hill). The neighborhood has 6,992 residents.
Q5
Is South Lawn a high social-vulnerability area?
South Lawn sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Lawn have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Lawn is census tract 24033801405 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is South Lawn for landlords?
South Lawn carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oxon Hill as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Lawn?
South Lawn has 6,742 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.4%), Hispanic / Latino (35.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
