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Neighborhood · Oxon Hill, MD

South Lawn Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,992 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 2.4–3.6

South Lawn is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Oxon Hill with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,992 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 68% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,678/month sits 2% lower than the Oxon Hill citywide average ($1,721).

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Lawn vs Oxon Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.4% +116%
Oxon Hill: 31.6%
Average gross rent
$1,678 -2%
Oxon Hill: $1,721
Average HH income
$85,441 -10%
Oxon Hill: $94,989
Poverty rate
8.5% +34%
Oxon Hill: 6.4%
Renter share
41.9% +9%
Oxon Hill: 38.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Lawn and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.4–3.6

Why South Lawn scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.8 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

South Lawn vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Lawn score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Lawn: 3.13.1South LawnNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Lawn

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033801405 3.6 4,346 66% $1,806
24033801409 2.4 2,646 73% $1,467
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Lawn

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,085Total filings (sum)
  • 77.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 99.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 85.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Lawn

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Lawn

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Lawn?

South Lawn scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Lawn compare to Oxon Hill overall?

South Lawn scores 3.3 points lower than Oxon Hill overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,678 vs $1,721.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Lawn?

Average gross rent in South Lawn is $1,678/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Lawn residents are renters?

42% of South Lawn households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Oxon Hill). The neighborhood has 6,992 residents.
Q5

Is South Lawn a high social-vulnerability area?

South Lawn sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Lawn have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Lawn is census tract 24033801405 (score 3.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 3.6, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Lawn for landlords?

South Lawn carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oxon Hill as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Lawn?

South Lawn has 6,742 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.4%), Hispanic / Latino (35.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Lawn

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oxon Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Lawn.

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