Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Saugus Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25009208102 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,090
Tract 25009208102, home to 3,090 residents in Saugus in Essex County, scores 6.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,236 monthly, set against $113,938 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,161
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$113,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saugus and the region
Centroid at 42.4417, -70.9932 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saugus scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saugus
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,236 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saugus
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saugus
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saugus
5.3
How Saugus compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saugus
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saugus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009208102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208102?
Census tract 25009208102 in Saugus scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009208102?
Median gross rent is $2,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208102?
7.2% of residents in tract 25009208102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 47th, minority 44th, housing 31th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 25009208102 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 25009208102 compare to Saugus overall?
Tract 25009208102 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Saugus at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 25009208102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saugus
Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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