Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Saugus Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25009208402 · Essex County, MA · pop 2,833

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 25009208402 in Saugus ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,833 residents. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,396 a month while the average household earns $130,420 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,127

Renter share36.3%

SVI overall0.17

Poverty rate3.7%

Median income$130,420

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saugus and the region

Centroid at 42.4663, -71.0360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saugus scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saugus

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

3.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,396 rent vs county FMR

7.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saugus

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saugus

5.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saugus

5.3

How Saugus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
24.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saugus

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saugus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009208402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208402?

Census tract 25009208402 in Saugus scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009208402?

Median gross rent is $2,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208402?

3.7% of residents in tract 25009208402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,833.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 4th, minority 32th, housing 39th.

What share of households in tract 25009208402 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009208402 compare to Saugus overall?

Tract 25009208402 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Saugus at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25009208402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saugus

Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.