Saugus Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.7% across Essex County.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Melrose. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.