Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Fairview Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicopee

Tract 25013811302 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,266 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

25013811302 is a census tract in the Fairview area of Chicopee, MA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,266 residents. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hampden County average of 46.5%.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 10% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units2,502

Renter share26.9%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate15.1%

Median income$64,038

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.2000, -72.5464 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairview scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

15.1% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,294 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

6.7

How Fairview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
23%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
19.5%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
18.4%Frequent mental distress
35.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairview

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,294, 12% above the Chicopee average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $64,038. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811302?

Census tract 25013811302 in the Fairview neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013811302?

Median gross rent is $1,294/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811302?

15.1% of residents in tract 25013811302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,266.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 54th, minority 35th, housing 64th.

Is tract 25013811302 considered part of Fairview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811302 fall within Fairview (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013811302 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013811302 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013811302 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicopee at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013811302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.