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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

The Commons Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicopee

Tract 25013811102 · Hampden County, MA · pop 7,130 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 25013811102 covers part of the The Commons area of Chicopee, MA, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,130 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,726
Renter share44.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$77,870

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In The Commons
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 12 tracts In Chicopee
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#725 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1633, -72.6210 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Commons scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicopee
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$984 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicopee
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicopee
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicopee
6.7

How The Commons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Commons risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 8111026.3Chicopeeparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Commons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Commons

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 46.5% across Hampden County.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. SNAP participation runs 24.0% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $984, 15% below the Chicopee average.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.6 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Holyoke Chicopee. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $77,870, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811102?

Census tract 25013811102 in the The Commons neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013811102?

Median gross rent is $984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811102?

15.8% of residents in tract 25013811102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 97th, minority 65th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 25013811102 considered part of The Commons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811102 fall within The Commons (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013811102 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013811102 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013811102 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicopee at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25013811102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 74% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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