Neighborhood · Chicopee, MA

The Commons Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,014 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.9–6.3

The Commons is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Chicopee with 3 census tracts and a population of 13,014 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $977/month sits 16% lower than the Chicopee citywide average ($1,157).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

The Commons vs Chicopee How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.0% +43%

Chicopee: 30.8%

Average gross rent

$977 -16%

Chicopee: $1,157

Average HH income

$64,497 -4%

Chicopee: $66,927

Poverty rate

17.8% +17%

Chicopee: 15.2%

Renter share

56.5% +28%

Chicopee: 44.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Commons and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.9–6.3

Why The Commons scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 5.4–6.5 across tracts

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

57% renter households · Range 4.9–8.5 across tracts

7.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.7 across tracts

6.4

Economic stress

17.8% below poverty line · Range 4.0–7.3 across tracts

4.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.6 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

The Commons vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Commons?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 4.9 to 6.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 4.9 4.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in The Commons

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25013810901	6.3	1,906	53%	$981
25013811102	4.9	7,130	37%	$984
25013812202	4.9	3,978	52%	$963

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 66%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Commons

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.7%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility shutoff threat
20.7%Food insecurity
24.6%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
36.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Commons

What is the eviction-risk score for The Commons?

The Commons scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Commons compare to Chicopee overall?

The Commons scores 0.9 points lower than Chicopee overall (6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $977 vs $1,157.

What is the average rent in The Commons?

Average gross rent in The Commons is $977/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Commons residents are renters?

57% of The Commons households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Chicopee). The neighborhood has 13,014 residents.

Is The Commons a high social-vulnerability area?

The Commons sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in The Commons have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Commons is census tract 25013810901 (score 6.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 6.3, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is The Commons for landlords?

The Commons carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicopee as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Commons?

The Commons has 13,126 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.7%), Hispanic / Latino (39.1%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Commons

5 Springfield Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 13,648 5.2 Merrick 5 tracts · pop 19,409 6 Willimansett 2 tracts · pop 8,054 6 Upper Worthington Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,849 5.5 Chicopee Falls 2 tracts · pop 10,458 5.8 Oakdale 3 tracts · pop 10,917

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicopee

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Commons.

5.1 Fairview 1 tracts · pop 5,266 4.9 Springfield Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 13,648 4.7 Aldenville 1 tracts · pop 4,165 5.6 Chicopee Falls 2 tracts · pop 10,458 6 Willimansett 2 tracts · pop 8,054

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