3 census tracts · pop 13,014 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10
· range 6.1–7.7
The Commons takes in 3 census tracts of Chicopee, MA and houses 13,014 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.5/10, in the Elevated tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Chicopee rate of 30.8%.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6.1 to 7.7. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10. SNAP participation is 26.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $977 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Chicopee commands.
That places it #5 of 6 neighborhoods in Chicopee. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Against average income of $64,497, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
The Commons vs ChicopeeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Commons
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.7%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility shutoff threat
20.7%Food insecurity
24.6%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
36.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Commons
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Commons?
The Commons scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Commons compare to Chicopee overall?
The Commons scores 0.2 points higher than Chicopee overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $977 vs $1,157.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Commons?
Average gross rent in The Commons is $977/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Commons residents are renters?
57% of The Commons households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Chicopee). The neighborhood has 13,014 residents.
Q5
Is The Commons a high social-vulnerability area?
The Commons sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Commons have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Commons is census tract 25013810901 (score 7.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 7.7, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is The Commons for landlords?
The Commons carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicopee as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Commons?
The Commons has 13,126 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.7%), Hispanic / Latino (39.1%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.