Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
The Commons Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicopee
Tract 25013812202 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,978 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 6.1/10, tract 25013812202 in the The Commons area of West Springfield Town, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share64.6%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$51,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicopee and the region
Centroid at 42.1485, -72.6379 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Commons scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicopee
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicopee
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicopee
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicopee
5.7
How The Commons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Commons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 19.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Commons
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hampden County average of 46.5%. At $963 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of West Springfield Town commands.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Holyoke Chicopee. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hampden County average of 5.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $51,667. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25013812202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013812202?
Census tract 25013812202 in the The Commons neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25013812202?
Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25013812202?
15.8% of residents in tract 25013812202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,978.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25013812202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 17th, minority 50th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 25013812202 considered part of The Commons?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013812202 fall within The Commons (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25013812202 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25013812202 compare to Chicopee overall?
Tract 25013812202 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicopee at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25013812202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee
Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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