Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013802601 · Hampden County, MA · pop 7,081 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 25013802601, in the Forest Park area of Springfield eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 7,081. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,330 a month while the average household earns $63,734 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 18% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,758

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate28.6%

Median income$63,734

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0813, -72.5466 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

28.6% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$1,330 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
35.2%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
38.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802601?

Census tract 25013802601 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802601?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802601?

28.6% of residents in tract 25013802601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,081.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 82th, minority 78th, housing 25th.

Is tract 25013802601 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802601 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802601 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802601 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802601 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.