Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013802601 · Hampden County, MA · pop 7,081 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 25013802601 in the Forest Park area of Springfield, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 18% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,758

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate28.6%

Median income$63,734

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0813, -72.5466 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

28.6% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$1,330 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
35.2%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
38.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.5% across Hampden County. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,330, 16% above the Springfield average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802601?

Census tract 25013802601 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802601?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802601?

28.6% of residents in tract 25013802601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,081.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 82th, minority 78th, housing 25th.

Is tract 25013802601 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802601 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802601 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802601 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802601 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.