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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Springfield Railroad District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25013800800 · Hampden County, MA · pop 2,006 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 25013800800 sits in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 2,006 residents. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hampden County average of 46.5%.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60% Stable renters 28% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units796
Renter share88.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate49.9%
Median income$20,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Downtown Springfield Railroad District
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1102, -72.6037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Springfield Railroad District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
49.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$525 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Downtown Springfield Railroad District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Springfield Railroad District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 8008006.5Springfieldparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Springfield Railroad District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Springfield Railroad District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. At $525 a month, rents run 54% under what the rest of Springfield commands.

Food insecurity runs 58.8% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013800800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800800?

Census tract 25013800800 in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013800800?

Median gross rent is $525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800800?

49.9% of residents in tract 25013800800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,006.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 100th, minority 96th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 25013800800 considered part of Downtown Springfield Railroad District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800800 fall within Downtown Springfield Railroad District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013800800 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013800800 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013800800 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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