Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Northampton
Tract 25015821903 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 25015821903 covers part of the Fort Hill Historic District area of Northampton, MA, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,525 residents. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.6/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,048
Renter share77.1%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$62,863
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northampton and the region
Centroid at 42.3112, -72.6422 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Hill Historic District scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,399 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6
How Fort Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 348Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2014)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 19.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Hill Historic District
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Hampshire County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.
77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. Court records carry 348 eviction filings across 12 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015821903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821903?
Census tract 25015821903 in the Fort Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015821903?
Median gross rent is $1,399/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821903?
21.8% of residents in tract 25015821903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 78th, minority 44th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25015821903 considered part of Fort Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821903 fall within Fort Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.45% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25015821903 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25015821903 compare to Northampton overall?
Tract 25015821903 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Northampton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northampton
Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Florence
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25015821601
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Pathways Cohousing
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Leeds
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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