Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Northampton
Tract 25015821903 ·
Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Fort Hill Historic District neighborhood of Northampton is where census tract 25015821903 sits, home to 3,525 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,399 a month against an average household income of $62,863 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 43%Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,048
Renter share77.1%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$62,863
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Fort Hill Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 8 tracts In Northampton
Very High
Within county
91th percentile
#4 of 35 tracts In Hampshire County
Very High
Within state
83th percentile
#283 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northampton and the region
Centroid at 42.3112, -72.6422 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Hill Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,399 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6
How Fort Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
348Total filings over 12 yrs
2.45%Avg annual filing rate
2.7%Peak (2014)
32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2005 to 2016
Filings climbed 39% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.5%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
19.5%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Hill Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampshire County average of 4.9 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015821903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821903?
Census tract 25015821903 in the Fort Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015821903?
Median gross rent is $1,399/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821903?
21.8% of residents in tract 25015821903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 78th, minority 44th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25015821903 considered part of Fort Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821903 fall within Fort Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.45% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25015821903 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25015821903 compare to Northampton overall?
Tract 25015821903 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Northampton at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northampton
Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.