Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Northampton Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25015821904 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,081 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 25015821904 sits in the Northampton Downtown Historic District area of Northampton eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Population here is 3,081. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.6/10.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$88,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northampton and the region
Centroid at 42.3248, -72.6272 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6
How Northampton Downtown Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 12 yrs
- 1.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2012)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northampton Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northampton Downtown Historic District
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Hampshire County at 46.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.6/10.
Court records carry 151 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Against the Hampshire County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. At $1,580 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Northampton commands.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 2.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015821904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821904?
Census tract 25015821904 in the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015821904?
Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821904?
10.6% of residents in tract 25015821904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,081.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 18th, minority 27th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 25015821904 considered part of Northampton Downtown Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821904 fall within Northampton Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.39% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25015821904 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25015821904 compare to Northampton overall?
Tract 25015821904 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Northampton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northampton
Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Fort Hill Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Florence
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25015821601
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Pathways Cohousing
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Leeds
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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