Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Cochituate
Tract 25017366202 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,343 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In the Winthrop Village neighborhood of Cochituate, census tract 25017366202 scores 4.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 20th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $218,750 a year. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,928
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$218,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cochituate and the region
Centroid at 42.3457, -71.3729 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop Village scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cochituate
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cochituate
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cochituate
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cochituate
2.7
How Winthrop Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2014)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.6%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 2.1%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Village
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cochituate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017366202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017366202?
Census tract 25017366202 in the Winthrop Village neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017366202?
1.4% of residents in tract 25017366202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,343.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017366202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 26th.
Q4
Is tract 25017366202 considered part of Winthrop Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017366202 fall within Winthrop Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017366202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017366202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.12% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017366202 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25017366202 compare to Cochituate overall?
Tract 25017366202 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Cochituate at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cochituate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cochituate
Top eight tracts in Cochituate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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