Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Idylwilde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lexington
Tract 25017358400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,822 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
25017358400 is a census tract in the Idylwilde area of Lexington, MA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,822 residents. Average gross rent is $1,084, 63% below the Lexington average.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,982
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$179,753
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lexington and the region
Centroid at 42.4377, -71.2455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Idylwilde scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lexington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lexington
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lexington
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lexington
4.6
How Idylwilde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 9%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 2.3%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Idylwilde
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lexington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 7% of average household income of $179,753, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017358400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017358400?
Census tract 25017358400 in the Idylwilde neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017358400?
Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017358400?
8.1% of residents in tract 25017358400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,822.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017358400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 83th, minority 55th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 25017358400 considered part of Idylwilde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017358400 fall within Idylwilde (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017358400 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25017358400 compare to Lexington overall?
Tract 25017358400 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lexington at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lexington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25017358400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lexington
Top eight tracts in Lexington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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