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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Kingston Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lexington

Tract 25017358300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,003 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 25017358300 in the Kingston area of Lexington, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,003. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 13% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,286
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$213,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Kingston
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Lexington
Elevated
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#330 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,272 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lexington and the region

Centroid at 42.4261, -71.2341 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kingston scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lexington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lexington
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lexington
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lexington
4.6

How Kingston compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kingston risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 3583005.3Lexingtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2016)
  • 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017358300

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kingston

Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. It sits 1.8 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 5.3% against 17.8% nationally.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Lexington commands. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 26 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.1% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Waltham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017358300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017358300?

Census tract 25017358300 in the Kingston neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017358300?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017358300?

4.4% of residents in tract 25017358300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,003.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017358300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 89th, minority 62th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 25017358300 considered part of Kingston?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017358300 fall within Kingston (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017358300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017358300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017358300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017358300 compare to Lexington overall?

Tract 25017358300 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lexington at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lexington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017358300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lexington

Top eight tracts in Lexington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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