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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

South Medford Eviction Risk: High

Tract 25017339700 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,674 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 25017339700 sits in the South Medford eviction risk area of Medford eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,674. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 31% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$69,539

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In South Medford
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Medford
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.4060, -71.1028 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Medford scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$2,229 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
4.6

How South Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 3397006.6Medfordparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2012)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017339700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Medford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Medford

Set annual rent against average income of $69,539 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 71 filings here across 5 tracked years. At $2,229 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Medford commands.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017339700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017339700?

Census tract 25017339700 in the South Medford neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017339700?

Median gross rent is $2,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017339700?

15.0% of residents in tract 25017339700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,674.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017339700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 69th, minority 60th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 25017339700 considered part of South Medford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017339700 fall within South Medford (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017339700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017339700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.56% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017339700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017339700 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017339700 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 25017339700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017339700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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